BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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North Carolina St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 40 Overall: (9-4) Overall Strength =  139.79
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (6-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (8-4)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2023 Away    W   127.08  24  14   1A 123 (  3-  9) Connecticut           -12.71     22.71                      
  2 09/09/2023 Home    L   133.95  24  45   1A   7 ( 10-  3) Notre Dame             -5.84    -15.16                      
  3 09/16/2023 Home    W   130.72  45   7   1B  87 (  5-  6) VMI                    -9.06 *   47.06                      
  4 09/22/2023 Away    W * 132.03  24  21   1A  84 (  3-  9) Virginia               -7.76     10.76                      
  5 09/29/2023 Home    L * 139.83  10  13   1A  22 ( 10-  4) Louisville              0.04     -3.04                      
  6 10/07/2023 Home    W   128.32  48  41   1A  98 (  6-  7) Marshall              -11.46     18.46                      
  7 10/14/2023 Away    L * 124.28   3  24   1A  26 (  8-  5) Duke                  -15.50     -5.50                      
  8 10/28/2023 Home    W * 148.46  24  17   1A  25 (  9-  4) Clemson                 8.67     -1.67                      
  9 11/04/2023 Home    W * 152.77  20   6   1A  34 (  7-  6) Miami FL               12.98      1.02                      
 10 11/11/2023 Away    W * 150.20  26   6   1A  80 (  4-  8) Wake Forest            10.42      9.58                      
 11 11/18/2023 Away    W * 147.04  35  28   1A  47 (  7-  6) Virginia Tech           7.26     -0.26                      
 12 11/25/2023 Home    W * 156.48  39  20   1A  41 (  8-  5) North Carolina         16.69      2.31                      
 13 12/28/2023 Unknown L   146.07  19  28   1A  11 (  9-  4) Kansas St               6.28    -15.28                      
      Averages             139.79  26.2 20.8

Best game:  156.48 = 19 point win over North Carolina
Worst game: 124.28 = 21 point loss to Duke
Team stdev:  10.93